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When the war ends – the IMF has updated the negative scenario for Ukraine – UNIAN
The negative scenario involves a longer and more intense war.
International Monetary Fund experts in a memorandum updated the negative scenario for Ukraine in the event of a more intense war that will last until mid-2026.
As stated in the document, the negative scenario envisages a longer and more intense war. This would result in a longer-lasting and more intense shock to the economy than under the base case scenario, which calls for the end of the war in the fourth quarter of 2025.
Thus, the negative scenario demonstrates an increase in the total external financing deficit to $177.2 billion compared to $148 billion in the base case. At the same time, forecasts of main macroeconomic variables also…
