investment banker gave a forecast for 2025 — Money

It is profitable for the NBU to keep the exchange rate fairly stable.

The growth of the dollar exchange rate in 2025 to 46-47 hryvnias is a healthy process for the economy of Ukraine, which will help producers to maintain competitiveness.

This was stated by the director of investment company Dragon Capital Tomasz Fiala.

According to him, on the one hand, it is beneficial for the National Bank to keep the exchange rate fairly stable. However, Ukraine has a significant deficit in the trade balance at the level of 15% of GDP, which is covered by 40 billion dollars of international aid per year. Ukraine is guaranteed to receive this money next year.

“This is the first time that we have such predictability. It also gives us comfort for our macro forecasts and for our investments. This is the first time during the war that we know, we are sure that our budget deficit will be financed not only for the next year, and for part of the 26th year. This is very…